4-Leg Parlay (4 legs) +473
MLB · 4 legs
+473risk0.25u→win1.18u
LOSS
Legs · 4
- +11.3pt EV vs implied
- 86.7% over last 15 games
- +20.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #17 vs this prop (-2.8% vs league avg over 256 games)
- +5.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #1 vs this prop (+31.9% vs league avg over 217 games)
- +14.4pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #6 vs this prop (+13.9% vs league avg over 247 games)
Context
(ref: cac2be)
Model Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
44.4%
4-5-7
ROI
+69.64%
+3.87u
CLV avg
+1.65%
n=12
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#1720
UUIDf73d21d6-03b9-4fd9-b197-c239cbe351cf
Surfaceparlay-4-leg
Posted2026-08-02 15:43 UTC
Graded2026-08-05 14:29 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashdcb7d342212c804a41be63ed2309fce526b26c493b27abfcc1b4e31573788830
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public14 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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