San Diego Padres ML
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago Cubs8
San Diego Padres3
Winner: Chicago Cubs · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-112
1.8929
Closing
-102
1.9804
Delta
-4.42%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#112
UUIDe9661601-65e3-4a93-a8a7-bd163ab18889
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-29 19:41 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 20:11 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823312:2026-04-29T20:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash093e83266aa59ea29ce4d31fa695f8b4908832da3c0f14aaa60c9d2d72df64d1
Closing line-102 captured 2026-04-29 20:11 UTC
CLV delta-4.42%
Closing hasha67e1a1fcfc04d39c09e0bfbb3ac1481cab68bcd9dd2c43c558476c29155dbf4
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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