6-Leg Parlay (6 legs) +1223
MLB+WNBA · 6 legs
+1223risk0.05u→win0.61u
LOSS
Legs · 6
- +18.9pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #8 vs this prop (+6.1% vs league avg over 214 games)
- +20.7pt EV vs implied
- 86.7% over last 15 games
- +21.3pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #5 vs this prop (+4.6% vs league avg over 80 games)
- +16.9pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #14 vs this prop (-10.3% vs league avg over 98 games)
- +13.8pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+23.2% vs league avg over 242 games)
- +15.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #1 vs this prop (+10.8% vs league avg over 104 games)
Game context
Line movement
+1223+1154-0.69 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
44.4%
4-5-7
ROI
+69.64%
+3.87u
CLV avg
+1.65%
n=12
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (8)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+1223
13.2300
Closing
+1154
12.5400
Delta
+5.50%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1474
UUID6252cde0-899a-4c2b-9e66-d36688ed9401
Surfaceparlay-lotto-6
Posted2026-07-18 20:50 UTC
Graded2026-07-19 05:33 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha745c7ed6a7d60315c1d8eb579d0e04d295ca546380e5281ab58c0ac504320ef
Closing line+1154 captured 2026-07-19 00:49 UTC
CLV delta+5.50%
Closing hashd4d961f5d748a0267449eb206ce376d3e7fc5ef5e976a74461eef4951e2ca673
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.5% hashed1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close61.9% closed1,119 settled picks · 61.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public17 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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