nbaMoneyline.2026-05-01
Denver Nuggets ML
Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTNBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-280
1.3571
Closing
-310
1.3226
Delta
+2.61%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#179
UUIDb738144f-7dec-44ec-9f55-ee230bb814f4
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-01 01:10 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-01T01:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash54e105c5d6c15b642b885fe21f998e6e1b225eaef4ac7f63ebcbd93b7ffe4aa8
Closing line-310 captured 2026-05-01 01:40 UTC
CLV delta+2.61%
Closing hash5a78dc2745ce68aa1fc2b973ace07ea9b4a39626db6db9fcf1e98303efb679bc
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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