Naz Reid Over 5.5 Rebounds
Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs
-239LOSS
Edge
Empirical 100.0% over last 15 games vs 70.5% implied → +29.5pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: efc1c9)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#677
UUID0893cccf-6072-4a29-afcc-d86769820dc2
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-11 20:32 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 04:42 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash135ee75f5c7462cac1a2dc3902def4e096699364a5634d9ac3dc8479af4bb796
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