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nbaMoneyline.2026-05-16🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED dff47ce6

San Antonio Spurs ML

San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves

-225risk1uwin0.44u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-225

Closing

-230

CLV

+0.67%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
San Antonio Spurs139
Minnesota Timberwolves109
Winner: San Antonio Spurs · 2026-05-15
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-225
1.4444
Closing
-230
1.4348
Delta
+0.67%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#769
UUIDd06f9522-e872-4df5-8c95-38038f10dd85
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-16 01:10 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 04:20 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-16T01:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashdff47ce6c253039784c3c9da6d307fb21b4b85a19c3df68cb6d54aca5eed801e
Closing line-230 captured 2026-05-16 01:40 UTC
CLV delta+0.67%
Closing hashc0e979a600e02eac9017fa946d61c61ce547eb380605d109e278fced51a7ff7f

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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