Buffalo Sabres ML
Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Buffalo Sabres4
Boston Bruins1
Winner: Buffalo Sabres · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-122
1.8197
Closing
-130
1.7692
Delta
+2.85%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#198
UUID46468679-817a-4da7-81f5-4fe5446008e3
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-01 23:10 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 02:15 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-01T23:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1e6a6e3e295ee2cad8f72d57349a2d71e109b61a8580d1ed80445ea46c3bdf59
Closing line-130 captured 2026-05-01 23:41 UTC
CLV delta+2.85%
Closing hash525cc6abe04affae508e1f59ff9989580048bf20c3a98f0fa989dce4548d7be1
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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