Montréal Canadiens +1.5
Buffalo Sabres @ Montréal Canadiens
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 82.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Montréal Canadiens → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
NHL alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Final · Grading detail
Buffalo Sabres8
Montreal Canadiens3
Winner: Buffalo Sabres · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (17)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#818
UUID491971e0-14af-4516-8272-702bf554fc37
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-16 23:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 03:03 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-17T00:00:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc3ec34d984d1f654619202535fb5f63b6b1dfbf933a63516d1c6753fc6364e30
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