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nhlMoneyline.2026-05-16🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 3cd83c27

Montréal Canadiens ML

Buffalo Sabres @ Montréal Canadiens

-166risk0.5u→win0.3u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.5u

Odds

-166

Closing

-180

CLV

+3.01%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: a3e08e)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Buffalo Sabres8
Montreal Canadiens3
Winner: Buffalo Sabres · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (17)

CLV math

Posted
-166
1.6024
Closing
-180
1.5556
Delta
+3.01%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#817
UUID6d92231f-5be0-4fe0-84d8-ee128853db26
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-16 23:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 02:58 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-17T00:00:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash3cd83c271321fa697d4d718d6c329455121da391e347039107079015cd6e3bdc
Closing line-180 captured 2026-05-17 00:01 UTC
CLV delta+3.01%
Closing hash3b78f94aee42b46be2aad17402f92e85af226dd613ee68b4a3f2d78ab6615473

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger95.6% hashed
    990 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close58.4% closed
    986 settled picks · 58.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public4 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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