Atlanta Braves ML
Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Atlanta Braves8
Colorado Rockies6
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-184
1.5435
Closing
-186
1.5376
Delta
+0.38%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#207
UUID0862a32f-d76c-47db-bca4-b5bda90b318e
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 00:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 03:27 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashcd367473f25f197ca3eaefcd2c0700c5ae5f83d74428807b68936bba925f3b07
Closing line-186 captured 2026-05-02 00:42 UTC
CLV delta+0.38%
Closing hash82cc1f53ef084f8f39ac79b8a403e69d7cd3d7a685a4f37283e068370cb2fe05
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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