Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-24🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED fc6f60bd

Jesús Sánchez Under 1.5 Total Bases

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

-170risk0.22u→win0.13uPENDINGESPN box score →
first pitch in03:17:08
No deep-link slips available for this pick yet.

Stake

0.22u

Odds

-170

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 99.9% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +36.0pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +36.0pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+18.2% vs league avg over 295 games)
  • Opposing starter Tanner Gordon blowing up: 8 ERA over last 3 starts at 4.9 IP/start. Strong lift for batter overs.
Model Record (30d)
Picks
22
Settled
21
Hit rate
68.4%
13-6
ROI
+14.86%
+0.42u
CLV avg
+1.85%
n=18
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (21 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

Audit trail

Pick ID#12922
UUID506dc743-1ecf-413f-a468-da659c1805b2
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-24 14:37 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfc6f60bd209d030eae00bce35b5b204353ad1c3ded9006425d258c9bd46e9fa8

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.6% hashed
    1,317 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close64.2% closed
    1,300 settled picks · 64.2% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public17 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801