Atlanta Braves ML
Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Atlanta Braves9
Colorado Rockies1
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-05-02
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-220
1.4545
Closing
-219
1.4566
Delta
-0.14%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#245
UUIDad824d92-81f8-4eea-807b-5d0cc4f94648
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 23:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 02:48 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash86edab61682e43f45854535886c2f6b6114b7c33628069e612d6745d20981885
Closing line-219 captured 2026-05-03 00:12 UTC
CLV delta-0.14%
Closing hash2044690f3f8164ff02919c4a603dd6efc8d8e8adc9ed5fe3d8c69a13edde1d23
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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