nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 16.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+210PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 16.5 (+4.0)
SIGNAL118.0% EV at +210 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.703, market 0.323; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#263
UUID5644d82b-047f-4cde-a79d-90bfdab2d674
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 16:43 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashf9c108a78db344f4d3e2a8f282d7df2720c616431f0218f6d6b52cc827c7ac0c
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