James Harden Over 15.5 Points
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
-275PENDING
Edge
Empirical 93.3% over last 15 games vs 73.3% implied → +20.0pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#630
UUID94bd8c13-9c60-49c2-b5c6-c6dde7b7eef8
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-09 22:46 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash38f4c3a09ea8ad5adad1dfd77a5c049faafd1ff1b79127d4e2d4645cfaaaad0d
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