Under 218.5
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Edge
Friendly alt under at 71.4% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 209.5 ≤ 215 (low-scoring band) → under.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
NBA alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#764
UUIDfd04d31d-e8cd-4915-a1ee-ed89e02d2b95
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-15 22:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 01:54 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-15T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha301b951687547be99d6418a563df5e9a169a7294fadc193fe9ee643a0cab1a7
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