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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-03◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED e0877a3d

Philadelphia Phillies ML

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

-144risk1u→win0.69u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-144

Closing

+108

CLV

-18.54%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Philadelphia Phillies7
Miami Marlins2
Winner: Philadelphia Phillies · 2026-05-03
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-144
1.6944
Closing
+108
2.0800
Delta
-18.54%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#267
UUIDae02a251-0103-41c8-b212-ba7f380d9021
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 17:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:05 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823875:2026-05-03T17:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe0877a3d6a6bdc6211ac9d660e26c974b7a0ffd367a67a9fec01345ee8b70d72
Closing line+108 captured 2026-05-03 17:41 UTC
CLV delta-18.54%
Closing hashd65fd90c85f06b7263287e0fb0f2ce816076c5de79c52d42bd49006a9d44b1f1

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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