mlbMoneyline.2026-05-03
Philadelphia Phillies ML
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-144
1.6944
Closing
+108
2.0800
Delta
-18.54%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#267
UUIDae02a251-0103-41c8-b212-ba7f380d9021
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 17:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 17:42 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823875:2026-05-03T17:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe0877a3d6a6bdc6211ac9d660e26c974b7a0ffd367a67a9fec01345ee8b70d72
Closing line+108 captured 2026-05-03 17:41 UTC
CLV delta-18.54%
Closing hashd65fd90c85f06b7263287e0fb0f2ce816076c5de79c52d42bd49006a9d44b1f1
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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