Atlanta Braves ML
Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Atlanta Braves11
Colorado Rockies6
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-05-03
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-144
1.6944
Closing
-219
1.4566
Delta
+16.33%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#277
UUID20d6dae7-4e80-4782-9f7a-c9188bc8b5a2
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 17:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:05 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824364:2026-05-03T19:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc5b640c5a8974e4899b0f6fc8f8019e265b38efe2717fbd56e0c4b8d089db3fe
Closing line-219 captured 2026-05-03 19:12 UTC
CLV delta+16.33%
Closing hash255b576515c1cca25f826c75492788a1a67454e23c2d9ad1a470451b1b49104d
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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