Jalen Duren Over 15.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+170risk1u→win1.7u
LOSS
Edge
Model expects 20.5 vs line 15.5 (+5.0)
Signal
101.8% EV at +170 (bovada); 5-input edge model
Context
NBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
Risk
Model probability 0.748, market 0.370; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Related Picks (14)
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#305
UUIDf5b84143-bdb6-4946-9944-f3d40ffeb32e
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 18:55 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 22:37 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash6a45d85692b27efc3bbfe88d52aec1f20388c127b842c2f7801999d4462ed0e5
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