mlbMoneyline.2026-05-04
Miami Marlins ML
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-110
1.9091
Closing
+112
2.1200
Delta
-9.95%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#429
UUIDe434f0b0-3814-44e7-aa34-21336ca77a74
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-04 22:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-04 22:45 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823874:2026-05-04T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash28cbe8eaa89953c494265f86f7328684fe6eabcc98c111fcaeeede4e6548fb72
Closing line+112 captured 2026-05-04 22:42 UTC
CLV delta-9.95%
Closing hashe5480e695615ab523f1160d01efb31b7245142f862373777028825998bef3c2d
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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