Los Angeles Angels ML
Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox6
Los Angeles Angels0
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-05-04
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-158
1.6329
Closing
-161
1.6211
Delta
+0.73%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#441
UUIDb56a28aa-080d-48b7-8c39-1a01e6cb4b84
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-05 01:09 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 04:00 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashcdf9e3afab39fe68049aef06ddc52717058b4c3f93a1a613d4f4bc33520b12f9
Closing line-161 captured 2026-05-05 04:42 UTC
CLV delta+0.73%
Closing hash07044edd2a3c3d4d59973c6f1bc86b3b3274143721f760624b4b50c53e99badf
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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