Matt Boldy Over 0.5 Points
Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche
-235risk1u→win0.43u
LOSS
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 70.1% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (betrivers)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (15)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#473
UUID2c113118-0a09-4ac2-bb03-34991d6ea606
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-06 02:52 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe8288ef55d1c67687e4c8d670340af29aea0fbbc28a445b9224acd0c3ddfce7a
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public9 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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