Los Angeles Dodgers ML
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 10 US books (chosen book: fanduel)
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-215
1.4651
Closing
-227
1.4405
Delta
+1.71%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#493
UUID030ae148-f4f3-4aba-86fc-86cd0c211ecb
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-06 17:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-06 18:15 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824198:2026-05-06T18:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash31e71bfb306e2d30bb55eb81f523a57636d7cb4387b36fa83863824a09f528ad
Closing line-227 captured 2026-05-06 18:12 UTC
CLV delta+1.71%
Closing hash4f9b8684d5e4ba95ff53887b024a392d9cbd60923063b26fe962675089e93adc
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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