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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-06◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED b26d10c7

Tampa Bay Rays ML

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

-138risk1u→win0.72u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-138

Closing

-126

CLV

-3.85%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 8 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 8e4b56)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Toronto Blue Jays0
Tampa Bay Rays3
Winner: Tampa Bay Rays · 2026-05-06
Related Picks (19)

CLV math

Posted
-138
1.7246
Closing
-126
1.7937
Delta
-3.85%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#481
UUID8fe3fc64-e637-4069-9844-773e57fba737
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-06 15:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:05 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822985:2026-05-06T17:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb26d10c737b36b9cbfdaeb328959be066b3088e762fb10d478f3b0cbe21df75c
Closing line-126 captured 2026-05-06 17:11 UTC
CLV delta-3.85%
Closing hashda7ba51c29ed11ea4bf6688e0e1cd81981d4dfcbe7f96f202fc938488b5d7290

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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