San Diego Padres ML
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-110
1.9091
Closing
+123
2.2300
Delta
-14.39%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#494
UUID0cf33fdf-37a5-46af-a892-a02f1c57aad6
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-06 18:31 UTC
Graded2026-05-06 19:48 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823226:2026-05-06T19:45:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash6c756fdf9330f60dc473abb3ffcc64939e578d1d3c7f54f4d82290ff0fb889fe
Closing line+123 captured 2026-05-06 19:47 UTC
CLV delta-14.39%
Closing hashbd6f3b69d6536027c2467c699db78e02a046254b0693a9e2e118d27936a48186
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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