Denver Nuggets ML
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Timberwolves113
Denver Nuggets125
Winner: Denver Nuggets · 2026-04-27
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-520
1.1923
Closing
-520
1.1923
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#52
UUID003064d2-4b03-42c1-a576-fb76c62d9802
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-04-28 02:10 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 05:21 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-04-28T02:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8db4a6242e016cfa02fca9d5c66215f98563438e1e2b70cd23d94e68b56654b7
Closing line-520 captured 2026-04-28 02:41 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash544673ff05de2b5971ca227f1ecba87dab238ff78b49e214eb9411c16bbe03d0
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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