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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-08LOCKED 5c748881

Cincinnati Reds ML

Houston Astros @ Cincinnati Reds

-125LOSSESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-125

Closing

-132

CLV

+2.41%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

CLV math

Posted
-125
1.8000
Closing
-132
1.7576
Delta
+2.41%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#558
UUID3b4ab6eb-4cde-4d88-9251-06eb5ef865b4
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-08 20:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-09 00:47 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824522:2026-05-08T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5c748881f55e1fbbbb7c91e206655fdac98512325d588fade7825e47ff23234c
Closing line-132 captured 2026-05-08 22:11 UTC
CLV delta+2.41%
Closing hash5c7ca34e680727a3ff3f6c81f4e2405a251a1dcd00551b9b415c6f087496cd66
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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