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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-09🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 233fc23e

Cleveland Guardians ML

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

-118risk1uwin0.85u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-118

Closing

-122

CLV

+1.53%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Twins2
Cleveland Guardians1
Winner: Minnesota Twins · 2026-05-09
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-118
1.8475
Closing
-122
1.8197
Delta
+1.53%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#620
UUID2a9512df-b3e2-45e8-bb3d-7e84a5113452
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-09 22:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 03:45 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824444:2026-05-09T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash233fc23e92612c99345dcc174ff497dcdd16a786eb36b8671c9620ad3ba869ce
Closing line-122 captured 2026-05-09 22:41 UTC
CLV delta+1.53%
Closing hash9a11a8bf5b8c27686971a31cf3fb87c086293eca90a4aa8848ca6586390b6b9e

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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