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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-13🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 939c5947

Toronto Blue Jays ML

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

-145risk1u→win0.69u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-145

Closing

-150

CLV

+1.38%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Tampa Bay Rays3
Toronto Blue Jays5
Winner: Toronto Blue Jays · 2026-05-13
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-145
1.6897
Closing
-150
1.6667
Delta
+1.38%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#724
UUID115a5e20-ecc8-427b-95d8-a230c37ba15e
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-13 22:38 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 02:10 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822815:2026-05-13T23:07:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash939c5947e133e6b9adb4b82c8820c596934de6ccc0434cfab12ef41a077ff3f0
Closing line-150 captured 2026-05-13 23:09 UTC
CLV delta+1.38%
Closing hashab46ca62a66355f69eb148bc767b5f09dac55ffd9fe3c0d58574e6dd7edac855

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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