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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-15◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 29cdd685

Devrim Goekduman ML

Franklyn Dwomoh @ Devrim Goekduman

+100risk1uwin1uPUSH

Stake

1u

Odds

+100

Closing

-120

CLV

+9.09%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Devrim Goekduman priced at **50.0% implied** to win - book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ DRAFTKINGS +100

Line movement

+100-120-0.17 dec
Related Picks (8)

CLV math

Posted
+100
2.0000
Closing
-120
1.8333
Delta
+9.09%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#755
UUIDaa6165cd-e087-4529-b935-328dc5fe577c
Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING
Posted2026-05-15 15:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-22 15:27 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash29cdd685876a351c69d7459529f2f9217da9a907f79d46c16e04cca10d149581
Closing line-120 captured 2026-05-15 16:00 UTC
CLV delta+9.09%
Closing hashf9d56607f8fea3766c7f74a43434494f9313e04b42bdd8d0b87b2915462ee8e7

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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