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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-15◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 3520e3a2

Emanuel Odiase ML

Nick Webb @ Emanuel Odiase

-1000risk1uwin0.1u
WIN

Stake

1u

Odds

-1000

Closing

-1600

CLV

+3.53%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Emanuel Odiase priced at **90.9% implied** to win - book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ DRAFTKINGS -1000 ➋ FANDUEL -2000

Line movement

-1000-1600-0.04 dec
Related Picks (8)

CLV math

Posted
-1000
1.1000
Closing
-1600
1.0625
Delta
+3.53%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#757
UUID5de73f20-0ea8-49ec-826c-ccdfa4b7ad81
Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING
Posted2026-05-15 17:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-22 15:27 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash3520e3a2b4a82dae653ddcc0f4322bf07164bdbadca1d7ef4ad0c11bd0d52d9d
Closing line-1600 captured 2026-05-15 21:00 UTC
CLV delta+3.53%
Closing hashd549392447fd5bd807fd6196690ede04d04ad92ad831dfb97a33b1b664351542

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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