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boxingMoneyline.2026-05-09◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED aa9651f0

Bradley Rea ML

Bradley Rea @ Liam Cameron

-240risk1uwin0.42uVOID

Stake

1u

Odds

-240

Closing

-240

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

BOXING Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Bradley Rea priced at **70.6% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ DRAFTKINGS -240 ➋ BETMGM -250 ➌ FANDUEL -260

Line movement

-240-2400.00 dec
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
1
Hit rate
100.0%
1-0
ROI
+167.00%
+1.67u
CLV avg
+63.11%
n=1
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (1 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (9)

CLV math

Posted
-240
1.4167
Closing
-240
1.4167
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#592
UUID8c728405-dafa-4425-ac27-e7a510ece333
Surfacesharp_degraded:BOXING
Posted2026-05-09 17:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-11 14:30 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashaa9651f0883d6665a0559441642a427ff728735525c638ed9895691a67037a30
Closing line-240 captured 2026-05-09 18:01 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash8ecefa3535b3969a2633ed6be6661af998c2164e6dee68d3459ac9fe423e8e7a

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close64.1% closed
    1,290 settled picks · 64.1% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public19 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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