Lotto Parlay (5 legs) +946
MLB · 5 legs
+946risk0.1u→win0.95u
LOSS
Legs · 5
- +7.9pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #18 vs this prop (-2.8% vs league avg over 279 games)
- +17.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #10 vs this prop (+4.8% vs league avg over 266 games)
- +17.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #13 vs this prop (+3.4% vs league avg over 245 games)
- +19.4pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #11 vs this prop (+4.8% vs league avg over 254 games)
- +8.1pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #4 vs this prop (+11.2% vs league avg over 259 games)
Context
(ref: 4fe560)
Model Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
44.4%
4-5-7
ROI
+69.64%
+3.87u
CLV avg
+1.65%
n=12
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#1232
UUIDb188d5f0-c7a3-4ef2-8b07-6352a1f462b0
Surfaceparlay-lotto-5
Posted2026-06-19 20:45 UTC
Graded2026-06-20 04:00 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd2a84b54ca4a92a7470af590f73fd10ba7da14918e3f6938706b0a9f29c955dd
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public14 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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