Detroit Tigers -1
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 61.1% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Detroit Tigers → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung (ref: 90f161)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox3
Detroit Tigers4
Winner: Detroit Tigers · 2026-06-19
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-157
1.6369
Closing
+100
2.0000
Delta
-18.15%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1235
UUID1146fff6-25c1-467b-8a83-54064d15a0e2
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-19 21:26 UTC
Graded2026-06-20 01:15 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824264:2026-06-19T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe03b4c68b8718060ba6071eabd7074472f5196c1b5f0abe5c1a378bc1f06e1a5
Closing line+100 captured 2026-06-19 22:42 UTC
CLV delta-18.15%
Closing hash03e09a3005153e34590b8f51c33921facb0705cad0e0eb0964dec90ff8a22506
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public9 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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