Colorado Avalanche ML
Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Colorado Avalanche1
Minnesota Wild5
Winner: Minnesota Wild · 2026-05-09
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
—
ROI
—
CLV avg
—
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#660
UUIDce2f67d2-0530-4aa5-8579-fdeb7f93b654
Surfacesharp_degraded:NHL
Posted2026-05-10 13:27 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 14:00 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash6ab1c073725cb275574aa18ad92f37bc36cc0fb77b33cfcf3d52c534ac943e58
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger80.8% hashed1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close64.1% closed1,289 settled picks · 64.1% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public20 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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