Detroit Pistons ML
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Orlando Magic109
Detroit Pistons116
Winner: Detroit Pistons · 2026-04-29
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-410
1.2439
Closing
-455
1.2198
Delta
+1.98%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#122
UUID03230731-f074-49cf-890a-c195a40cdd58
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-04-29 22:40 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 01:45 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-04-29T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash2c183505dbbed00cb78c0f22d7a334d669589c6417f32c2d4d3793b49ef38feb
Closing line-455 captured 2026-04-29 23:11 UTC
CLV delta+1.98%
Closing hashf70729a3c35ebcc34b3cc9735f149c568352a5ec3e0a7dbaf182ce2bd0e71693
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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