mlbMoneyline.2026-04-29
New York Mets ML
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-162
1.6173
Closing
-181
1.5525
Delta
+4.17%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#125
UUID210a3483-4732-455b-a390-d715d7c62e61
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-29 22:41 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 23:12 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823633:2026-04-29T23:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash94d3b82c33b9f69abe60429ae3e4f9513f2944503b3197bffd5c63dc5b87b154
Closing line-181 captured 2026-04-29 23:11 UTC
CLV delta+4.17%
Closing hash66eb937b60f45e3ad03393edf3e83a55dcaf3fa4ff078a165e554ed9249a37e4
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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