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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-10🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 562981be

NY Yankees ML

NY Yankees @ Washington Nationals

-163risk1uwin0.61u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-163

Closing

-199

CLV

+7.39%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=5 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
New York Yankees5
Washington Nationals3
Winner: New York Yankees · 2026-07-10
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-163
1.6135
Closing
-199
1.5025
Delta
+7.39%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1350
UUID57756fc0-fa30-45f3-a7f6-4628e8ef1ce9
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-10 21:30 UTC
Graded2026-07-11 03:57 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822709:2026-07-10T22:45:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash562981be15a5dbc7b636d6d685352d7d48dfc833801808320e4ca253e51679cf
Closing line-199 captured 2026-07-10 22:51 UTC
CLV delta+7.39%
Closing hash6400db3f90bf49a5a45a37fa7bcd7fb8d333994de67535091d723190afe8f2e4

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.9% closed
    1,119 settled picks · 61.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public17 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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