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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-10🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 69670b68

NY Mets ML

Boston Red Sox @ NY Mets

-149risk1u→win0.67u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-149

Closing

-148

CLV

-0.27%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=5 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox6
New York Mets2
Winner: Boston Red Sox · 2026-07-10
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-149
1.6711
Closing
-148
1.6757
Delta
-0.27%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1352
UUID8a855584-5755-41a6-925c-d44dfb2266f3
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-10 23:20 UTC
Graded2026-07-11 03:00 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823604:2026-07-10T23:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash69670b6869380e8a2eca1a40e96fc363dd7540b2ad385592d6e11a2eee07cb81
Closing line-148 captured 2026-07-10 23:57 UTC
CLV delta-0.27%
Closing hash55b88f6ccb3526086142765f507a7a9eb10cd5550031ba2ea7673ff8ec8e3ee1

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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