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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-10-04🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED baeee4ab

DeWanna Bonner Over 3.5 Rebounds

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream

-171risk0.16u→win0.09uPENDINGESPN box score →

Bet onDK

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-171

Closing

-179

CLV

+1.68%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.1% implied → +23.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: 7d19d4)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+23.6pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #13 vs this prop (-6.5% vs league avg over 58 games)
86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-171-179-0.03 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

18

Settled

17

Hit rate

47.1%

8-9

ROI

-30.09%

-0.73u

CLV avg

+1.29%

n=17

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (17 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

WNatasha Howard Over 2.5 Assists@ -1662026-09-18 WDeWanna Bonner Over 3.5 Rebounds@ -1692026-09-17 WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 WAzura Stevens Over 5.5 Rebounds@ -1782026-08-18 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1702026-08-16 WKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1782026-08-11 WKelsey Plum Over 14.5 Points@ -1642026-08-05 WNatisha Hiedeman Over 14.5 Points@ -1822026-08-03 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2392026-07-30

Same model

LJo Adell Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-10-03 LMarcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-24 WRandy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-23 LRafael Flores Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-23 LJackie Young Over 19.5 Points@ -1732026-09-22

CLV math

Posted

-171

1.5848

Closing

-179

1.5587

Delta

+1.68%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#14223

UUID837f3763-ceb2-4f5e-bb37-bb1f3dbb3c17

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-10-04 15:03 UTC

Gradedpending

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hashbaeee4ab97db5372c971f6119c730100f71bfcf3bacb7bb9ed1afd7b63796fcb

Closing line-179 captured 2026-10-04 16:42 UTC

CLV delta+1.68%

Closing hashfb1fbfe5212326dd8b37da62a342b1903f7760f139cdc862dd597abbf04c3236

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger78.9% hashed
1,360 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close65.3% closed
1,353 settled picks · 65.3% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public7 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801