mlbMoneyline.2026-04-30
Baltimore Orioles ML
Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-130
1.7692
Closing
-122
1.8197
Delta
-2.77%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#152
UUID0cd6ab27-10a0-455e-8624-b3af0e2c79d1
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-30 16:06 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 16:40 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824848:2026-04-30T16:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe48271fd93f5705f33fec77eef67c6d4cae6818b8252cd1c7e078932252e3018
Closing line-122 captured 2026-04-30 16:37 UTC
CLV delta-2.77%
Closing hash819281dc238f3829e3f038dc9e0c1b40382f55025d04ed410de2d779bc61ece7
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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