mlbMoneyline.2026-04-30
Philadelphia Phillies ML
San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-142
1.7042
Closing
-156
1.6410
Delta
+3.85%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#164
UUIDc82d5a02-2205-491e-86d6-fcb713984c4f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-30 20:21 UTC
Graded2026-04-30 21:36 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823472:2026-04-30T16:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe2926d9750e42c4ec9d75a3088f9ceee51ed9624d4576e4cf8bf57a2ef24c77e
Closing line-156 captured 2026-04-30 21:36 UTC
CLV delta+3.85%
Closing hashf64c8173e3ec08f14920991618f608321e5499f6fa665ba02138ba097a8e1cbb
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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