Minnesota Wild ML
Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Dallas Stars2
Minnesota Wild5
Winner: Minnesota Wild · 2026-04-30
Related Picks (14)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-122
1.8197
Closing
-130
1.7692
Delta
+2.85%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#173
UUIDe42e35f6-4017-49e1-94de-bcf82d61fe28
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-04-30 22:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-01 02:16 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-04-30T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashee03fd2c8604046fb3dbd9e4ea4962730d200e2b906a0e3896f6a219cb6abec8
Closing line-130 captured 2026-04-30 23:10 UTC
CLV delta+2.85%
Closing hash53958b40e13b23862c6f90585ec9a2585874bb24b7a89a2e6c016cbd16c16f01
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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