Edmonton Oilers ML
Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Edmonton Oilers2
Anaheim Ducks5
Winner: Anaheim Ducks · 2026-04-30
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-130
1.7692
Closing
-125
1.8000
Delta
-1.71%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#182
UUIDd3209fbc-59c2-4d1e-b62b-d2bbaf859c42
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-01 01:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-01 04:53 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-01T02:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashee90352d7b13a81f8ae4ad39ed57da4e0b78d27f331aab4579de19ee2f703df8
Closing line-125 captured 2026-05-01 02:10 UTC
CLV delta-1.71%
Closing hash14d4ba988fce9b7019d4a40790ef34d3081508510e0ac6ec931f0e2ede3d1624
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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