Jack Eichel Over 0.5 Points
Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights
-300WIN
Edge
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 75.0% implied → +5.0pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#687
UUIDb6c1c5f2-8cfc-4126-9126-af32f2d269cb
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-11 20:36 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 05:28 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash285a639bcd853ca4626b323d4866ec1fbb27d677e5c2e01ec7319e05c9b18583
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