Friendly alt under at 77.8% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, under rung lower-juice (77.8% vs 82.6%).

Signal

Same lineup gate as ML

Context

NHL alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung

Risk

Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Audit trail

Pick ID#714

UUID0ec151a2-b85f-40d3-98e9-8186f4fdd716

Surfacesharp:NHL

Posted2026-05-13 01:20 UTC

Graded2026-05-13 04:57 UTC

Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-13T01:50:00.000Z

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash1339cea78b8355ec498dc80d0a1db3d5630baf7223ab7a29bd55d9f1f3cc26dc

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