Detroit Tigers ML
Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Texas Rangers5
Detroit Tigers4
Winner: Texas Rangers · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-116
1.8621
Closing
-124
1.8065
Delta
+3.08%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#186
UUID31b2d94d-b780-4c33-bbe2-8fb1f9077ba7
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-01 21:26 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 01:47 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824287:2026-05-01T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8304fe8d3129db9f1a3b8124bb88ee9ddedf41b8b7b413714a952978fb97d816
Closing line-124 captured 2026-05-01 22:41 UTC
CLV delta+3.08%
Closing hash5dca8e23e7b578a9a90f3ae88520d0b61d17395024434a76b64ed140b4fd440d
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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