Pittsburgh Pirates ML
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
St. Louis Cardinals4
Pittsburgh Pirates2
Winner: St. Louis Cardinals · 2026-04-27
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-122
1.8197
Closing
-118
1.8475
Delta
-1.50%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#19
UUID9dae1c0f-ad55-429d-b0e8-eaba97581b59
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-27 22:11 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 01:21 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823395:2026-04-27T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash84ff4f4d8971caa6901f9d521638e289ff451c18796ac646158be7a09381b6da
Closing line-118 captured 2026-04-27 22:42 UTC
CLV delta-1.50%
Closing hash66ca26b3591bc137e657fe8d43cf2b7baeda86618d546b5f6246da443784ff5d
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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