Detroit Pistons ML
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Detroit Pistons93
Orlando Magic79
Winner: Detroit Pistons · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-170
1.5882
Closing
-162
1.6173
Delta
-1.80%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#192
UUIDc562a23e-6548-44e9-827e-75ae0d223b10
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-01 22:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 01:42 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-01T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash62e6eb039d09ba394174e4d704c280dfe86964d44ef706d4ab70a3a10b576293
Closing line-162 captured 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC
CLV delta-1.80%
Closing hash33ac429e7f3f53f5b9eeb4bcdc44962f1ee249fbc9c4e11c3f6fdb1ee96c0260
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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