mlbMoneyline.2026-05-02
New York Yankees ML
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-154
1.6494
Closing
-186
1.5376
Delta
+7.27%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#223
UUIDde538143-4e8b-44c8-b7f7-f15fc040bffd
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 16:21 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 17:40 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823554:2026-05-02T17:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe240ef9ca2e4c2f47cf96fd22ecbf321fe23b8a28eebc81d692c84c4f9cf1702
Closing line-186 captured 2026-05-02 17:37 UTC
CLV delta+7.27%
Closing hashd57464f51157d960a40b3ff2a6560ff725733012b68997decc771cd7e67e2f6e
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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