mlbMoneyline.2026-05-02
Chicago Cubs ML
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-162
1.6173
Closing
-149
1.6711
Delta
-3.22%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#229
UUID25a8ae5f-215b-4b56-ac3d-4ecf5e42e843
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 17:51 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 18:22 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824685:2026-05-02T18:20:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash6fa81be0b0dd245ec567294811289329499df30f52f0ac698750a5a0ea57e0e8
Closing line-149 captured 2026-05-02 18:22 UTC
CLV delta-3.22%
Closing hash8c492138ceba8a113983701553fabb12862ed2c9de86cd411cf22fb77db2c7f6
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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